Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.058564 0.063371 0.068225 0.073486 0.079021 0.084664 0.090844
2025-04-20 0.050708 0.057726 0.065052 0.073243 0.082120 0.091421 0.101880
2025-04-27 0.045193 0.053850 0.063158 0.073847 0.085722 0.098452 0.113071
2025-05-04 0.041332 0.051321 0.062345 0.075302 0.090008 0.106072 0.124842
2025-05-11 0.038688 0.049850 0.062458 0.077582 0.095059 0.114457 0.137448
2025-05-18 0.033729 0.045279 0.058661 0.075066 0.094388 0.116190 0.142413
2025-05-25 0.030565 0.042580 0.056821 0.074614 0.095918 0.120294 0.149974
2025-06-01 0.027823 0.040179 0.055146 0.074185 0.097330 0.124154 0.157180
2025-06-08 0.026670 0.039667 0.055694 0.076372 0.101817 0.131601 0.168587
2025-06-15 0.025281 0.038741 0.055634 0.077741 0.105264 0.137793 0.178522
2025-06-22 0.023798 0.037581 0.055190 0.078556 0.107981 0.143083 0.187380
2025-06-29 0.022128 0.036057 0.054180 0.078574 0.109650 0.147065 0.194652
2025-07-06 0.021234 0.035580 0.054549 0.080397 0.113654 0.154013 0.205684
2025-07-13 0.019432 0.033721 0.052998 0.079666 0.114390 0.156934 0.211832
2025-07-20 0.018185 0.032575 0.052340 0.080051 0.116514 0.161557 0.220075
2025-07-27 0.017394 0.032039 0.052473 0.081453 0.119928 0.167788 0.230321
2025-08-03 0.016969 0.032020 0.053303 0.083783 0.124555 0.175566 0.242532
2025-08-10 0.014986 0.029498 0.050503 0.081090 0.122529 0.174883 0.244156
2025-08-17 0.013826 0.028179 0.049350 0.080593 0.123346 0.177776 0.250240
2025-08-24 0.012766 0.026946 0.048260 0.080129 0.124167 0.180648 0.256285
2025-08-31 0.012534 0.027053 0.049138 0.082430 0.128714 0.188345 0.268490
2025-09-07 0.012088 0.026772 0.049415 0.083869 0.132095 0.194547 0.278823
2025-09-14 0.011521 0.026249 0.049300 0.084726 0.134677 0.199713 0.287851